China imported 5,772 tons of polysilicon in November

According to the latest customs data, China imported 5,772 tons of polysilicon in November, marking a slight increase of 0.59% compared to October. From January to November, the total import volume reached 76,006 tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.84%. Notably, the average import price for polysilicon hit a new low in November, reaching $20.39 per kilogram—a 12.9% month-on-month decline. This is significantly lower than the $25.76/kg recorded from January to November, which was already below the 2011 average by 58.04%. In terms of sourcing, South Korea, the United States, and Germany accounted for 85.97% of China’s polysilicon imports in November. South Korea contributed 26.1%, the U.S. 40.3%, and Germany 19.5%. Prices from South Korea and Germany dropped slightly from October, with South Korea at $19.41/kg and Germany at $25.88/kg. Meanwhile, the U.S. saw a minor rebound to $17.04/kg, though it remained the lowest among the three countries. Industry analysts suggest that the recent drop in import prices is largely due to Germany’s need to clear excess inventory, especially after China’s retrospective tax investigation. As the year-end approaches, major producers are pushing hard to meet sales targets, often submitting aggressive bids. In fact, German imports fell by over 1,127 tons in November, with the average price dropping to $25.88/kg. However, this decline isn’t attributed to Wacker’s production cuts, as its capacity has been reduced by 20% by September. With weak global demand and overcapacity, production cuts have only worsened the situation, leading to continued export declines from Germany. Looking ahead, the ongoing Chinese Ministry of Commerce investigation into polysilicon may lead to a market bottom, but any recovery is expected to be limited. Additionally, the outcomes of trade negotiations between China and the EU could have significant impacts on silicon material and component pricing. As a result, the pricing structure in both the silicon and solar markets is likely to become more complex in the coming months. On the export side, China exported 410 tons of polysilicon in November, bringing the cumulative total for the year to 1,497 tons. While these numbers are relatively small compared to imports, they reflect a growing but still modest presence in the global polysilicon trade.

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